VoVix DEVMA🌌 VoVix DEVMA: A Deep Dive into Second-Order Volatility Dynamics
Welcome to VoVix+, a sophisticated trading framework that transcends traditional price analysis. This is not merely another indicator; it is a complete system designed to dissect and interpret the very fabric of market volatility. VoVix+ operates on the principle that the most powerful signals are not found in price alone, but in the behavior of volatility itself. It analyzes the rate of change, the momentum, and the structure of market volatility to identify periods of expansion and contraction, providing a unique edge in anticipating major market moves.
This document will serve as your comprehensive guide, breaking down every mathematical component, every user input, and every visual element to empower you with a profound understanding of how to harness its capabilities.
🔬 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION: THE MATHEMATICS OF MARKET DYNAMICS
VoVix+ is built upon a multi-layered mathematical engine designed to measure what we call "second-order volatility." While standard indicators analyze price, and first-order volatility indicators (like ATR) analyze the range of price, VoVix+ analyzes the dynamics of the volatility itself. This provides insight into the market's underlying state of stability or chaos.
1. The VoVix Score: Measuring Volatility Thrust
The core of the system begins with the VoVix Score. This is a normalized measure of volatility acceleration or deceleration.
Mathematical Formula:
VoVix Score = (ATR(fast) - ATR(slow)) / (StDev(ATR(fast)) + ε)
Where:
ATR(fast) is the Average True Range over a short period, representing current, immediate volatility.
ATR(slow) is the Average True Range over a longer period, representing the baseline or established volatility.
StDev(ATR(fast)) is the Standard Deviation of the fast ATR, which measures the "noisiness" or consistency of recent volatility.
ε (epsilon) is a very small number to prevent division by zero.
Market Implementation:
Positive Score (Expansion): When the fast ATR is significantly higher than the slow ATR, it indicates a rapid increase in volatility. The market is "stretching" or expanding.
Negative Score (Contraction): When the fast ATR falls below the slow ATR, it indicates a decrease in volatility. The market is "coiling" or contracting.
Normalization: By dividing by the standard deviation, we normalize the score. This turns it into a standardized measure, allowing us to compare volatility thrust across different market conditions and timeframes. A score of 2.0 in a quiet market means the same, relatively, as a score of 2.0 in a volatile market.
2. Deviation Analysis (DEV): Gauging Volatility's Own Volatility
The script then takes the analysis a step further. It calculates the standard deviation of the VoVix Score itself.
Mathematical Formula:
DEV = StDev(VoVix Score, lookback_period)
Market Implementation:
This DEV value represents the magnitude of chaos or stability in the market's volatility dynamics. A high DEV value means the volatility thrust is erratic and unpredictable. A low DEV value suggests the change in volatility is smooth and directional.
3. The DEVMA Crossover: Identifying Regime Shifts
This is the primary signal generator. We take two moving averages of the DEV value.
Mathematical Formula:
fastDEVMA = SMA(DEV, fast_period)
slowDEVMA = SMA(DEV, slow_period)
The Core Signal:
The strategy triggers on the crossover and crossunder of these two DEVMA lines. This is a profound concept: we are not looking at a moving average of price or even of volatility, but a moving average of the standard deviation of the normalized rate of change of volatility.
Bullish Crossover (fastDEVMA > slowDEVMA): This signals that the short-term measure of volatility's chaos is increasing relative to the long-term measure. This often precedes a significant market expansion and is interpreted as a bullish volatility regime.
Bearish Crossunder (fastDEVMA < slowDEVMA): This signals that the short-term measure of volatility's chaos is decreasing. The market is settling down or contracting, often leading to trending moves or range consolidation.
⚙️ INPUTS MENU: CONFIGURING YOUR ANALYSIS ENGINE
Every input has been meticulously designed to give you full control over the strategy's behavior. Understanding these settings is key to adapting VoVix+ to your specific instrument, timeframe, and trading style.
🌀 VoVix DEVMA Configuration
🧬 Deviation Lookback: This sets the lookback period for calculating the DEV value. It defines the window for measuring the stability of the VoVix Score. A shorter value makes the system highly reactive to recent changes in volatility's character, ideal for scalping. A longer value provides a smoother, more stable reading, better for identifying major, long-term regime shifts.
⚡ Fast VoVix Length: This is the lookback period for the fastDEVMA. It represents the short-term trend of volatility's chaos. A smaller number will result in a faster, more sensitive signal line that reacts quickly to market shifts.
🐌 Slow VoVix Length: This is the lookback period for the slowDEVMA. It represents the long-term, baseline trend of volatility's chaos. A larger number creates a more stable, slower-moving anchor against which the fast line is compared.
How to Optimize: The relationship between the Fast and Slow lengths is crucial. A wider gap (e.g., 20 and 60) will result in fewer, but potentially more significant, signals. A narrower gap (e.g., 25 and 40) will generate more frequent signals, suitable for more active trading styles.
🧠 Adaptive Intelligence
🧠 Enable Adaptive Features: When enabled, this activates the strategy's performance tracking module. The script will analyze the outcome of its last 50 trades to calculate a dynamic win rate.
⏰ Adaptive Time-Based Exit: If Enable Adaptive Features is on, this allows the strategy to adjust its Maximum Bars in Trade setting based on performance. It learns from the average duration of winning trades. If winning trades tend to be short, it may shorten the time exit to lock in profits. If winners tend to run, it will extend the time exit, allowing trades more room to develop. This helps prevent the strategy from cutting winning trades short or holding losing trades for too long.
⚡ Intelligent Execution
📊 Trade Quantity: A straightforward input that defines the number of contracts or shares for each trade. This is a fixed value for consistent position sizing.
🛡️ Smart Stop Loss: Enables the dynamic stop-loss mechanism.
🎯 Stop Loss ATR Multiplier: Determines the distance of the stop loss from the entry price, calculated as a multiple of the current 14-period ATR. A higher multiplier gives the trade more room to breathe but increases risk per trade. A lower multiplier creates a tighter stop, reducing risk but increasing the chance of being stopped out by normal market noise.
💰 Take Profit ATR Multiplier: Sets the take profit target, also as a multiple of the ATR. A common practice is to set this higher than the Stop Loss multiplier (e.g., a 2:1 or 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio).
🏃 Use Trailing Stop: This is a powerful feature for trend-following. When enabled, instead of a fixed stop loss, the stop will trail behind the price as the trade moves into profit, helping to lock in gains while letting winners run.
🎯 Trail Points & 📏 Trail Offset ATR Multipliers: These control the trailing stop's behavior. Trail Points defines how much profit is needed before the trail activates. Trail Offset defines how far the stop will trail behind the current price. Both are based on ATR, making them fully adaptive to market volatility.
⏰ Maximum Bars in Trade: This is a time-based stop. It forces an exit if a trade has been open for a specified number of bars, preventing positions from being held indefinitely in stagnant markets.
⏰ Session Management
These inputs allow you to confine the strategy's trading activity to specific market hours, which is crucial for day trading instruments that have defined high-volume sessions (e.g., stock market open).
🎨 Visual Effects & Dashboard
These toggles give you complete control over the on-chart visuals and the dashboard. You can disable any element to declutter your chart or focus only on the information that matters most to you.
📊 THE DASHBOARD: YOUR AT-A-GLANCE COMMAND CENTER
The dashboard centralizes all critical information into one compact, easy-to-read panel. It provides a real-time summary of the market state and strategy performance.
🎯 VOVIX ANALYSIS
Fast & Slow: Displays the current numerical values of the fastDEVMA and slowDEVMA. The color indicates their direction: green for rising, red for falling. This lets you see the underlying momentum of each line.
Regime: This is your most important environmental cue. It tells you the market's current state based on the DEVMA relationship. 🚀 EXPANSION (Green) signifies a bullish volatility regime where explosive moves are more likely. ⚛️ CONTRACTION (Purple) signifies a bearish volatility regime, where the market may be consolidating or entering a smoother trend.
Quality: Measures the strength of the last signal based on the magnitude of the DEVMA difference. An ELITE or STRONG signal indicates a high-conviction setup where the crossover had significant force.
PERFORMANCE
Win Rate & Trades: Displays the historical win rate of the strategy from the backtest, along with the total number of closed trades. This provides immediate feedback on the strategy's historical effectiveness on the current chart.
EXECUTION
Trade Qty: Shows your configured position size per trade.
Session: Indicates whether trading is currently OPEN (allowed) or CLOSED based on your session management settings.
POSITION
Position & PnL: Displays your current position (LONG, SHORT, or FLAT) and the real-time Profit or Loss of the open trade.
🧠 ADAPTIVE STATUS
Stop/Profit Mult: In this simplified version, these are placeholders. The primary adaptive feature currently modifies the time-based exit, which is reflected in how long trades are held on the chart.
🎨 THE VISUAL UNIVERSE: DECIPHERING MARKET GEOMETRY
The visuals are not mere decorations; they are geometric representations of the underlying mathematical concepts, designed to give you an intuitive feel for the market's state.
The Core Lines:
FastDEVMA (Green/Maroon Line): The primary signal line. Green when rising, indicating an increase in short-term volatility chaos. Maroon when falling.
SlowDEVMA (Aqua/Orange Line): The baseline. Aqua when rising, indicating a long-term increase in volatility chaos. Orange when falling.
🌊 Morphism Flow (Flowing Lines with Circles):
What it represents: This visualizes the momentum and strength of the fastDEVMA. The width and intensity of the "beam" are proportional to the signal strength.
Interpretation: A thick, steep, and vibrant flow indicates powerful, committed momentum in the current volatility regime. The floating '●' particles represent kinetic energy; more particles suggest stronger underlying force.
📐 Homotopy Paths (Layered Transparent Boxes):
What it represents: These layered boxes are centered between the two DEVMA lines. Their height is determined by the DEV value.
Interpretation: This visualizes the overall "volatility of volatility." Wider boxes indicate a chaotic, unpredictable market. Narrower boxes suggest a more stable, predictable environment.
🧠 Consciousness Field (The Grid):
What it represents: This grid provides a historical lookback at the DEV range.
Interpretation: It maps the recent "consciousness" or character of the market's volatility. A consistently wide grid suggests a prolonged period of chaos, while a narrowing grid can signal a transition to a more stable state.
📏 Functorial Levels (Projected Horizontal Lines):
What it represents: These lines extend from the current fastDEVMA and slowDEVMA values into the future.
Interpretation: Think of these as dynamic support and resistance levels for the volatility structure itself. A crossover becomes more significant if it breaks cleanly through a prior established level.
🌊 Flow Boxes (Spaced Out Boxes):
What it represents: These are compact visual footprints of the current regime, colored green for Expansion and red for Contraction.
Interpretation: They provide a quick, at-a-glance confirmation of the dominant volatility flow, reinforcing the background color.
Background Color:
This provides an immediate, unmistakable indication of the current volatility regime. Light Green for Expansion and Light Aqua/Blue for Contraction, allowing you to assess the market environment in a split second.
📊 BACKTESTING PERFORMANCE REVIEW & ANALYSIS
The following is a factual, transparent review of a backtest conducted using the strategy's default settings on a specific instrument and timeframe. This information is presented for educational purposes to demonstrate how the strategy's mechanics performed over a historical period. It is crucial to understand that these results are historical, apply only to the specific conditions of this test, and are not a guarantee or promise of future performance. Market conditions are dynamic and constantly change.
Test Parameters & Conditions
To ensure the backtest reflects a degree of real-world conditions, the following parameters were used. The goal is to provide a transparent baseline, not an over-optimized or unrealistic scenario.
Instrument: CME E-mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ1!)
Timeframe: 5-Minute Chart
Backtesting Range: March 24, 2024, to July 09, 2024
Initial Capital: $100,000
Commission: $0.62 per contract (A realistic cost for futures trading).
Slippage: 3 ticks per trade (A conservative setting to account for potential price discrepancies between order placement and execution).
Trade Size: 1 contract per trade.
Performance Overview (Historical Data)
The test period generated 465 total trades , providing a statistically significant sample size for analysis, which is well above the recommended minimum of 100 trades for a strategy evaluation.
Profit Factor: The historical Profit Factor was 2.663 . This metric represents the gross profit divided by the gross loss. In this test, it indicates that for every dollar lost, $2.663 was gained.
Percent Profitable: Across all 465 trades, the strategy had a historical win rate of 84.09% . While a high figure, this is a historical artifact of this specific data set and settings, and should not be the sole basis for future expectations.
Risk & Trade Characteristics
Beyond the headline numbers, the following metrics provide deeper insight into the strategy's historical behavior.
Sortino Ratio (Downside Risk): The Sortino Ratio was 6.828 . Unlike the Sharpe Ratio, this metric only measures the volatility of negative returns. A higher value, such as this one, suggests that during this test period, the strategy was highly efficient at managing downside volatility and large losing trades relative to the profits it generated.
Average Trade Duration: A critical characteristic to understand is the strategy's holding period. With an average of only 2 bars per trade , this configuration operates as a very short-term, or scalping-style, system. Winning trades averaged 2 bars, while losing trades averaged 4 bars. This indicates the strategy's logic is designed to capture quick, high-probability moves and exit rapidly, either at a profit target or a stop loss.
Conclusion and Final Disclaimer
This backtest demonstrates one specific application of the VoVix+ framework. It highlights the strategy's behavior as a short-term system that, in this historical test on NQ1!, exhibited a high win rate and effective management of downside risk. Users are strongly encouraged to conduct their own backtests on different instruments, timeframes, and date ranges to understand how the strategy adapts to varying market structures. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and all trading involves significant risk.
🔧 THE DEVELOPMENT PHILOSOPHY: FROM VOLATILITY TO CLARITY
The journey to create VoVix+ began with a simple question: "What drives major market moves?" The answer is often not a change in price direction, but a fundamental shift in market volatility. Standard indicators are reactive to price. We wanted to create a system that was predictive of market state. VoVix+ was designed to go one level deeper—to analyze the behavior, character, and momentum of volatility itself.
The challenge was twofold. First, to create a robust mathematical model to quantify these abstract concepts. This led to the multi-layered analysis of ATR differentials and standard deviations. Second, to make this complex data intuitive and actionable. This drove the creation of the "Visual Universe," where abstract mathematical values are translated into geometric shapes, flows, and fields. The adaptive system was intentionally kept simple and transparent, focusing on a single, impactful parameter (time-based exits) to provide performance feedback without becoming an inscrutable "black box." The result is a tool that is both profoundly deep in its analysis and remarkably clear in its presentation.
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER AND BEST PRACTICES
VoVix+ is an advanced analytical tool, not a guarantee of future profits. All financial markets carry inherent risk. The backtesting results shown by the strategy are historical and do not guarantee future performance. This strategy incorporates realistic commission and slippage settings by default, but market conditions can vary. Always practice sound risk management, use position sizes appropriate for your account equity, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. It is recommended to use this strategy as part of a comprehensive trading plan. This was developed specifically for Futures
"The prevailing wisdom is that markets are always right. I take the opposite view. I assume that markets are always wrong. Even if my assumption is occasionally wrong, I use it as a working hypothesis."
— George Soros
— Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Cerca negli script per "stop loss"
Keltner Channel StrategyOverview
The Keltner Channel Strategy is a powerful trend-following and mean-reversion system that leverages the Keltner Channels, EMA crossovers, and ATR-based stop-losses to optimize trade entries and exits. This strategy has proven to be highly effective, particularly when applied to Gold (XAUUSD) and other commodities with strong trend characteristics.
📈 How It Works
This strategy incorporates two trading approaches: 1️⃣ Keltner Channel Reversal Trades – Identifies overbought and oversold conditions when price touches the outer bands.
2️⃣ Trend Following Trades – Uses the 9 EMA & 21 EMA crossover, with confirmation from the 50 EMA, to enter trades in the direction of the trend.
🔍 Entry & Exit Criteria
📊 Keltner Channel Entries (Reversal Strategy)
✅ Long Entry: When the price crosses below the lower Keltner Band (potential reversal).
✅ Short Entry: When the price crosses above the upper Keltner Band (potential reversal).
⏳ Exit Conditions:
Long positions close when price crosses back above the mid-band (EMA-based).
Short positions close when price crosses back below the mid-band (EMA-based).
📈 Trend Following Entries (Momentum Strategy)
✅ Long Entry: When the 9 EMA crosses above the 21 EMA, and price is above the 50 EMA (bullish momentum).
✅ Short Entry: When the 9 EMA crosses below the 21 EMA, and price is below the 50 EMA (bearish momentum).
⏳ Exit Conditions:
Long positions close when the 9 EMA crosses back below the 21 EMA.
Short positions close when the 9 EMA crosses back above the 21 EMA.
📌 Risk Management & Profit Targeting
ATR-based Stop-Losses:
Long trades: Stop set at 1.5x ATR below entry price.
Short trades: Stop set at 1.5x ATR above entry price.
Take-Profit Levels:
Long trades: Profit target 2x ATR above entry price.
Short trades: Profit target 2x ATR below entry price.
🚀 Why Use This Strategy?
✅ Works exceptionally well on Gold (XAUUSD) due to high volatility.
✅ Combines reversal & trend strategies for improved adaptability.
✅ Uses ATR-based risk management for dynamic position sizing.
✅ Fully automated alerts for trade entries and exits.
🔔 Alerts
This script includes automated TradingView alerts for:
🔹 Keltner Band touches (Reversal signals).
🔹 EMA crossovers (Momentum trades).
🔹 Stop-loss & Take-profit activations.
📊 Ideal Markets & Timeframes
Best for: Gold (XAUUSD), NASDAQ (NQ), Crude Oil (CL), and trending assets.
Recommended Timeframes: 15m, 1H, 4H, Daily.
⚡️ How to Use
1️⃣ Add this script to your TradingView chart.
2️⃣ Select a 15m, 1H, or 4H timeframe for optimal results.
3️⃣ Enable alerts to receive trade notifications in real time.
4️⃣ Backtest and tweak ATR settings to fit your trading style.
🚀 Optimize your Gold trading with this Keltner Channel Strategy! Let me know how it performs for you. 💰📊
Mogwai Method with RSI and EMA - BTCUSD 15mThis is a custom TradingView indicator designed for trading Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on a 15-minute timeframe. It’s based on the Mogwai Method—a mean-reversion strategy—enhanced with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for momentum confirmation. The indicator generates buy and sell signals, visualized as green and red triangle arrows on the chart, to help identify potential entry and exit points in the volatile cryptocurrency market.
Components
Bollinger Bands (BB):
Purpose: Identifies overextended price movements, signaling potential reversions to the mean.
Parameters:
Length: 20 periods (standard for mean-reversion).
Multiplier: 2.2 (slightly wider than the default 2.0 to suit BTCUSD’s volatility).
Role:
Buy signal when price drops below the lower band (oversold).
Sell signal when price rises above the upper band (overbought).
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Purpose: Confirms momentum to filter out false signals from Bollinger Bands.
Parameters:
Length: 14 periods (classic setting, effective for crypto).
Overbought Level: 70 (price may be overextended upward).
Oversold Level: 30 (price may be overextended downward).
Role:
Buy signal requires RSI < 30 (oversold).
Sell signal requires RSI > 70 (overbought).
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) (Plotted but not currently in signal logic):
Purpose: Provides trend context (included in the script for visualization, optional for signal filtering).
Parameters:
Fast EMA: 9 periods (short-term trend).
Slow EMA: 50 periods (longer-term trend).
Role: Can be re-added to filter signals (e.g., buy only when Fast EMA > Slow EMA).
Signals (Triangles):
Buy Signal: Green upward triangle below the bar when price is below the lower Bollinger Band and RSI is below 30.
Sell Signal: Red downward triangle above the bar when price is above the upper Bollinger Band and RSI is above 70.
How It Works
The indicator combines Bollinger Bands and RSI to spot mean-reversion opportunities:
Buy Condition: Price breaks below the lower Bollinger Band (indicating oversold conditions), and RSI confirms this with a reading below 30.
Sell Condition: Price breaks above the upper Bollinger Band (indicating overbought conditions), and RSI confirms this with a reading above 70.
The strategy assumes that extreme price movements in BTCUSD will often revert to the mean, especially in choppy or ranging markets.
Visual Elements
Green Upward Triangles: Appear below the candlestick to indicate a buy signal.
Red Downward Triangles: Appear above the candlestick to indicate a sell signal.
Bollinger Bands: Gray lines (upper, middle, lower) plotted for reference.
EMAs: Blue (Fast) and Orange (Slow) lines for trend visualization.
How to Use the Indicator
Setup
Open TradingView:
Log into TradingView and select a BTCUSD chart from a supported exchange (e.g., Binance, Coinbase, Bitfinex).
Set Timeframe:
Switch the chart to a 15-minute timeframe (15m).
Add the Indicator:
Open the Pine Editor (bottom panel in TradingView).
Copy and paste the script provided.
Click “Add to Chart” to apply it.
Verify Display:
You should see Bollinger Bands (gray), Fast EMA (blue), Slow EMA (orange), and buy/sell triangles when conditions are met.
Trading Guidelines
Buy Signal (Green Triangle Below Bar):
What It Means: Price is oversold, potentially ready to bounce back toward the Bollinger Band middle line.
Action:
Enter a long position (buy BTCUSD).
Set a take-profit near the middle Bollinger Band (bb_middle) or a resistance level.
Place a stop-loss 1-2% below the entry (or based on ATR, e.g., ta.atr(14) * 2).
Best Context: Works well in ranging markets; avoid during strong downtrends.
Sell Signal (Red Triangle Above Bar):
What It Means: Price is overbought, potentially ready to drop back toward the middle line.
Action:
Enter a short position (sell BTCUSD) or exit a long position.
Set a take-profit near the middle Bollinger Band or a support level.
Place a stop-loss 1-2% above the entry.
Best Context: Effective in ranging markets; avoid during strong uptrends.
Trend Filter (Optional):
To reduce false signals in trending markets, you can modify the script:
Add and ema_fast > ema_slow to the buy condition (only buy in uptrends).
Add and ema_fast < ema_slow to the sell condition (only sell in downtrends).
Check the Fast EMA (blue) vs. Slow EMA (orange) alignment visually.
Tips for BTCUSD on 15-Minute Charts
Volatility: BTCUSD can be erratic. If signals are too frequent, increase bb_mult (e.g., to 2.5) or adjust RSI levels (e.g., 75/25).
Confirmation: Use volume spikes or candlestick patterns (e.g., doji, engulfing) to confirm signals.
Time of Day: Mean-reversion works best during low-volume periods (e.g., Asian session in crypto).
Backtesting: Use TradingView’s Strategy Tester (convert to a strategy by adding entry/exit logic) to evaluate performance with historical BTCUSD data up to March 13, 2025.
Risk Management
Position Size: Risk no more than 1-2% of your account per trade.
Stop Losses: Always use stops to protect against BTCUSD’s sudden moves.
Avoid Overtrading: Wait for clear signals; don’t force trades in choppy or unclear conditions.
Example Scenario
Chart: BTCUSD, 15-minute timeframe.
Buy Signal: Price drops to $58,000, below the lower Bollinger Band, RSI at 28. A green triangle appears.
Action: Buy at $58,000, target $59,000 (middle BB), stop at $57,500.
Sell Signal: Price rises to $60,500, above the upper Bollinger Band, RSI at 72. A red triangle appears.
Action: Sell at $60,500, target $59,500 (middle BB), stop at $61,000.
This indicator is tailored for mean-reversion trading on BTCUSD. Let me know if you’d like to tweak it further (e.g., add filters, alerts, or alternative indicators)!
Breaks and Retests - Free990Strategy Description: "Breaks and Retests - Free990"
The "Breaks and Retests - Free990" strategy is based on identifying breakout and retest opportunities for potential entries in both long and short trades. The idea is to detect price breakouts above resistance levels or below support levels, and subsequently identify retests that confirm the breakout levels. The strategy offers an automated approach to enter trades after a breakout followed by a retest, which serves as a confirmation of trend continuation.
Key Components:
Support and Resistance Detection:
The strategy calculates pivot levels based on historical price movements to define support and resistance areas. A lookback range is used to determine these key levels.
Breakouts and Retests:
The system identifies when a breakout occurs above a resistance level or below a support level.
It then waits for a retest of the previously broken level as confirmation, which is often a better entry opportunity.
Trade Direction Selection:
Users can choose between "Long Only," "Short Only," or "Both" directions for trading based on their market view.
Stop Loss and Trailing Stop:
An initial stop loss is placed at a defined percentage away from the entry.
The trailing stop loss is activated after the position gains a specified percentage in profit.
Long Entry:
A long entry is triggered if the price breaks above a resistance level and subsequently retests that level successfully.
The entry condition checks if the breakout was confirmed and if a retest was valid.
The long entry is only executed if the user-selected direction is either "Long Only" or "Both."
Short Entry:
A short entry is triggered if the price breaks below a support level and subsequently retests that level.
The short entry is only executed if the user-selected direction is either "Short Only" or "Both."
sell_condition checks whether the support has been broken and whether the retest condition is valid.
An initial stop loss is placed when the trade is opened to limit the risk if the trade moves against the position.
The stop loss is calculated based on a user-defined percentage (stop_loss_percent) of the entry price.
pinescript
Copy code
stop_loss_price := strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stop_loss_percent / 100)
For long positions, the stop loss is placed below the entry price.
For short positions, the stop loss is placed above the entry price.
Trailing Stop:
When a position achieves a certain profit threshold (profit_threshold_percent), the trailing stop mechanism is activated.
For long positions, the trailing stop follows the highest price reached, ensuring that some profit is locked in if the price reverses.
For short positions, the trailing stop follows the lowest price reached.
Code Logic for Trailing Stop:
Exit Execution:
The strategy exits the position when the price hits the calculated stop loss level.
This includes both the initial stop loss and the trailing stop that adjusts as the trade progresses.
Code Logic for Exit:
Summary:
Breaks and Retests - Free990 uses support and resistance levels to identify breakouts, followed by retests for confirmation.
Entry Points: Triggered when a breakout is confirmed and a retest occurs, for both long and short trades.
Exit Points:
Initial Stop Loss: Limits risk for both long and short trades.
Trailing Stop Loss: Locks in profits as the price moves in favor of the position.
This strategy aims to capture the momentum after breakouts and minimize losses through effective use of stop loss and trailing stops. It gives the flexibility of selecting trade direction and ensures trades are taken with confirmation through the retest, which helps to reduce false breakouts.
Original Code by @HoanGhetti
Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy Description:
The Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy is designed to leverage market volatility specifically in Bitcoin (BTC) using a combination of volatility indicators and trend-following techniques. This strategy utilizes the VIXFix (a volatility indicator adapted for crypto markets) and the BVOL7D (Bitcoin 7-Day Volatility Index from BitMEX) to identify periods of high volatility, while confirming trends with the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). These components work together to offer a comprehensive system that traders can use to enter positions when volatility and trends are aligned in their favor.
Key Features:
VIXFix (Volatility Index for Crypto Markets): This indicator measures the highest price of Bitcoin over a set period and compares it with the current low price to gauge market volatility. A rise in VIXFix indicates increasing market volatility, signaling that large price movements could occur.
BVOL7D (Bitcoin 7-Day Volatility Index): This volatility index, provided by BitMEX, measures the volatility of Bitcoin over the past 7 days. It helps traders monitor the recent volatility trend in the market, particularly useful when making short-term trading decisions.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): The 50-period EMA acts as a trend indicator. When the price is above the EMA, it suggests the market is in an uptrend, and when the price is below the EMA, it suggests a downtrend.
How It Works:
Long Entry: A long position is triggered when both the VIXFix and BVOL7D indicators are rising, signaling increased volatility, and the price is above the 50-period EMA, confirming that the market is trending upward.
Exit: The strategy exits the position when the price crosses below the 50-period EMA, which signals a potential weakening of the uptrend and a decrease in volatility.
This strategy ensures that traders only enter positions when the volatility aligns with a clear trend, minimizing the risk of entering trades during periods of market uncertainty.
Testing and Timeframe:
This strategy has been tested on Bitcoin using the daily timeframe, which provides a longer-term perspective on market trends and volatility. However, users can adjust the timeframe according to their trading preferences. It is crucial to note that this strategy does not include comprehensive risk management, aside from the exit condition when the price crosses below the EMA. Users are strongly advised to implement their own risk management techniques, such as setting appropriate stop-loss levels, to safeguard their positions during high volatility periods.
Utility:
The Crypto Volatility Bitcoin Correlation Strategy is particularly well-suited for traders who aim to capitalize on the high volatility often seen in the Bitcoin market. By combining volatility measurements (VIXFix and BVOL7D) with a trend-following mechanism (EMA), this strategy helps identify optimal moments for entering and exiting trades. This approach ensures that traders participate in potentially profitable market moves while minimizing exposure during times of uncertainty.
Use Cases:
Volatility-Based Entries: Traders looking to take advantage of market volatility spikes will find this strategy useful for timing entry points during market swings.
Trend Confirmation: By using the EMA as a confirmation tool, traders can avoid entering trades that go against the trend, which can result in significant losses during volatile market conditions.
Risk Management: While the strategy exits when price falls below the EMA, it is important to recognize that this is not a full risk management system. Traders should use caution and integrate additional risk measures, such as stop-losses and position sizing, to better manage potential losses.
How to Use:
Step 1: Monitor the VIXFix and BVOL7D indicators. When both are rising and the Bitcoin price is above the EMA, the strategy will trigger a long entry, indicating that the market is experiencing increased volatility with a confirmed uptrend.
Step 2: Exit the position when the price drops below the 50-period EMA, signaling that the trend may be reversing or weakening, reducing the likelihood of continued upward price movement.
This strategy is open-source and is intended to help traders navigate volatile market conditions, particularly in Bitcoin, using proven indicators for volatility and trend confirmation.
Risk Disclaimer:
This strategy has been tested on the daily timeframe of Bitcoin, but users should be aware that it does not include built-in risk management except for the below-EMA exit condition. Users should be extremely cautious when using this strategy and are encouraged to implement their own risk management, such as using stop-losses, position sizing, and setting appropriate limits. Trading involves significant risk, and this strategy does not guarantee profits or prevent losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always test any strategy in a demo environment before applying it to live markets.
Position Size Calculator for ContractDescription:
Position Size Calculator is a versatile Pine Script tool designed to help traders manage their risk and position sizing effectively. This script calculates essential trading metrics and visualizes them directly on your chart, helping you make informed trading decisions.
Features:
- Account Size & Risk Management:
- Account Size: Input your total account balance to calculate position sizes.
- Maximum Risk: Define how much of your account you are willing to risk per trade in dollars.
- Pip Value: Set the value of a single pip for one contract, which is crucial for calculating risk
and position size.
Trade Setup Visualization:
- Entry Price: Specify the price at which you plan to enter the trade.
- Stop Loss: Define your stop loss level to manage your risk.
- Take Profit: Set your target profit level for the trade.
- Visualize the Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit levels on your chart with customizable line
colors and text sizes.
- View the distance in pips between the Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit levels.
Position Size Calculation:
- Calculates the number of contracts to open based on your risk tolerance and the pip value.
- Displays the maximum number of contracts you can open given your risk parameters.
Customizable Table Display:
- Table Position: Choose the position of the summary table on the chart (Top-Left, Top-Right,
Bottom-Left, Bottom-Right, etc.).
- Table Text Size: Adjust the text size for the summary table.
- Table Background Color: Set the background color for the summary table.
- Table Border Color: Customize the border color of the summary table.
How to Use:
1- Input your Account Size: Enter your current account balance.
2- Set Maximum Risk and Pip Value: Define how much you're willing to risk per trade and the
pip value for your contract.
3- Define Trade Levels: Input your desired Entry Price, Stop Loss, and Take Profit levels.
4- Customize Visuals: Adjust the line styles and table settings to fit your preferences.
5- View Calculations: The script will display the distance in pips and the calculated position
size directly on your chart.
Example Usage:
Example to calculate the value of 1 pips with 1 contract:
Inputs:
Account Size: Your total trading account balance.
Maximum Risk: Risk amount per trade in dollars.
Pip Value: Value of one pip for a single contract.
Entry Price: The price at which you plan to enter the trade.
Stop Loss: The level at which you will exit the trade to cut losses.
Take Profit: The target price to lock in profits.
Line Text Size: Size of the text for the Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit lines.
Line Extend: Option to extend the lines for visual clarity.
Table Position: Position of the summary table on the chart.
Table Text Size: Size of the text in the summary table.
Table Background Color: Background color of the summary table.
Table Border Color: Border color of the summary table.
Visuals:
Entry Price, Stop Loss, and Take Profit levels are clearly marked on the chart.
Summary Table with important trade metrics displayed.
Notional Trade Table
Notional Trade Table indicator displays notional trade values for given Buy and Sell of given input of Symbol, Quantity, Entry Price and Stop Loss .
Sections of Input Menu Table are supported with Tool Tip icons.
Input Symbols:
(Refer Input Menu)
User can choose maximum 20 Symbols.
Input Side Choice (BUY/SELL):
(Refer Input Menu)
After choosing Symbol, User has to choose the BUY or SELL option for each Symbol against the corresponding Sybol number. If NIL is selected “Nil is selected ” message is displayed prompting the user to select BUY or SELL sides.
For example in the above Input Menu:
Sym1 is BATS:AAPL. Corresponding Side 1 is Sell1.
Sym2 is BATS:NVDA Corresponding Side 2 Sell 2.
Sym12 is BATS:NFLX. Corresponding Side 12 is Buy12 and so on.
Input Quantity:
(Refer Input Menu)
Next enter Corresponding Quantity of BUY or SELL in relevant Quantity Input Box. Quantity cannot be Zero. Defval is 1.
For Sym1 input in Qty 1 box,for Sym2 input in Qty 2 box and so on.
Input Entry Price:
(Refer Input Menu)
After entering Quantity Input Entry Price for Corresponding Symbol.
Input for Sym1 Entry Price in EP1 box
Input for Sym2 Entry Price in EP2 box
and so on.
Input Stop Loss:
(Refer Input Menu)
Next Enter corresponding Stop Loss for each Symbol.
SL1 input box denotes Sym1 Stop Loss.
SL2 input box denotes Sym2 Stop Loss.
SL3 input box denotes Sym3 Stop Loss and so on.
Stop Loss for Chosen BUY side should be below corresponding Entry Price/Last Price. Otherwise a message is displayed “SL Hit”. User has to enter valid data.
Stop Loss for Chosen SELL side should be above corresponding Entry Price/Last Price. Otherwise a message is displayed “SL Hit”. User has to enter valid data.
Notional Trade Table:
(Refer the Table on Chart)
From the input menu filled by User script captures the Symbol, BUY/SELL options, Quantity,
Entry Price and Stop Loss details under the corresponding heads in the Notional Trade Table.
The script captures the live Last traded Price under the head LP and calculates and displays corresponding Profit or Loss under PR/LO column in the table.
SL+- LP is the difference between Last traded Price (LP) and Stop Loss Price. Positive figure under this head reflects Stop Loss cushion available .
Nil header column reflects message “NIL selected” prompting the User to select BUY or SELL sides.
SLH header displays “SL Hit” on Stop Loss Hit or wrong input of Stop Loss inconsistent with BUY or SELL sides of Trade. On “SL Hit” message all values in corresponding Symbol becomes Zero. User has to re-enter the details fresh .
On the top left side corner of the table there are 2 cells with Prono and Lono.They denote the number of trades which are in Profit (Prono) and which are in Loss(Lono).
It is preferable to choose Symbols from a single country exchange commensurate with the Time zone. Otherwise if Exchange and Chart time Zone differs there is risk of data loss in the table.
DISCLAIMER: For educational and entertainment purpose only .Nothing in this content should be interpreted as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any sort of security/ies or investment/s.
Wolf DCA CalculatorThe Wolf DCA Calculator is a powerful and flexible indicator tailored for traders employing the Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy. This tool is invaluable for planning and visualizing multiple entry points for both long and short positions. It also provides a comprehensive analysis of potential profit and loss based on user-defined parameters, including leverage.
Features
Entry Price: Define the initial entry price for your trade.
Total Lot Size: Specify the total number of lots you intend to trade.
Percentage Difference: Set the fixed percentage difference between each DCA point.
Long Position: Toggle to switch between long and short positions.
Stop Loss Price: Set the price level at which you plan to exit the trade to minimize losses.
Take Profit Price: Set the price level at which you plan to exit the trade to secure profits.
Leverage: Apply leverage to your trade, which multiplies the potential profit and loss.
Number of DCA Points: Specify the number of DCA points to strategically plan your entries.
How to Use
1. Add the Indicator to Your Chart:
Search for "Wolf DCA Calculator" in the TradingView public library and add it to your chart.
2. Configure Inputs:
Entry Price: Set your initial trade entry price.
Total Lot Size: Enter the total number of lots you plan to trade.
Percentage Difference: Adjust this to set the interval between each DCA point.
Long Position: Use this toggle to choose between a long or short position.
Stop Loss Price: Input the price level at which you plan to exit the trade to minimize losses.
Take Profit Price: Input the price level at which you plan to exit the trade to secure profits.
Leverage: Set the leverage you are using for the trade.
Number of DCA Points: Specify the number of DCA points to plan your entries.
3. Analyze the Chart:
The indicator plots the DCA points on the chart using a stepline style for clear visualization.
It calculates the average entry point and displays the potential profit and loss based on the specified leverage.
Labels are added for each DCA point, showing the entry price and the lots allocated.
Horizontal lines mark the Stop Loss and Take Profit levels, with corresponding labels showing potential loss and profit.
Benefits
Visual Planning: Easily visualize multiple entry points and understand how they affect your average entry price.
Risk Management: Clearly see your Stop Loss and Take Profit levels and their impact on your trade.
Customizable: Adapt the indicator to your specific strategy with a wide range of customizable parameters.
Range Average Retest Model [LuxAlgo]The Range Average Retest Model tool highlights setups from the range average retest entry model, a model using the retest of the average between two opposite swing points as an entry.
This tool uses long-term volatility coupled with user-defined multipliers to filter out swing areas and set take profit and stop loss levels for all trades.
Key features include:
Draw up to 165 swing areas and their associated trades
Filter out swing areas using Pivot Length , Selection Mode and Threshold parameters
Filter out trades with Maximum Distance and Minimum Distance parameters
Enable or disable swing areas and select default colors
Enable or disable overlapping trades and change the default colors for Take Profit and Stop Loss zones
🔶 USAGE
The "Range Average Retest Model" is an entry model that enters a position when the price retests the average made between two swing points. Users can determine the period of the detected swing points from the "Pivot Length" setting.
The conditions for long or short trades, regardless of whether the swing area is bullish or bearish, are as follows:
Long positions: the current bar close is below the swing area average and the last bar close was above it.
Short positions: the current bar close is above the swing area average price and the last bar close was below it.
Each trade is displayed on the chart with a line connecting it to its swing area highlighting the range average, a green area for the take profit, and a red area for the stop loss.
Both the Take Profit and Stop Loss levels are calculated by applying your own multiplier in the settings panel to the long-term volatility measure, in this case, the average true range over the last 200 bars.
Trades will remain open until they reach either the Stop Loss or Take Profit price levels.
🔹 Filtering Swing Areas
The daily chart of the Nasdaq-100 futures (NQ) with pivot length 2 and bullish selection mode: it only detects bullish swing areas, but they are smaller and more numerous.
Traders can manipulate the behavior of the swing areas from the settings panel.
The Selection mode will filter areas by bias: it will detect bullish areas, bearish areas, or both.
The Threshold parameter is applied to the long-term volatility to filter out areas where the average prices are too close together; the higher the value, the greater the difference between the average prices must be.
🔹 Trades
3-minute chart of the Nasdaq-100 futures (NQ) with pivot length 5, bearish selection mode maximum distance 4, and stop loss 2: many trades detected with very asymmetric risk/reward.
The behavior of the trades is also manipulated from the settings panel.
The maximum and minimum distance parameters specify the number of bars a trade must be away from a swing area.
The Take Profit and Stop Loss parameters are applied to the long-term volatility to obtain their respective price levels.
🔹 Overlapping Trades
Same chart as before, but with overlapping trades: messy, right?
By default the tool does not show overlapping trades, this allows for a cleaner chart.
In the settings panel traders can enable overlapping mode, in which case the tool will show all available trades.
Traders must be aware that the chart can be very crowded.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Swings
Pivot Length: How many bars are used to confirm a swing point. The larger this parameter is, the larger and fewer swing areas will be detected.
Selection Mode: Swing area detection mode, detect only bullish swings, only bearish swings, or both.
Threshold: Swing area comparator. This threshold is multiplied by a measure of volatility (average true range over the last 200 bars), for a new swing area to be detected it must have an average level that is sufficiently distant from the average level of any untouched swing area, this parameter controls that distance.
🔹 Trades
Maximum distance: Maximum distance allowed between a swing area and a trade.
Minimum distance: Minimum distance allowed between a swing area and a trade.
Take profit: The size of the take profit - this threshold is multiplied by a measure of volatility (the average true range over the last 200 bars).
Stop loss: The size of the stop-loss: this threshold is multiplied by a measure of volatility (the average true range over the last 200 bars).
Portfolio Backtester Engine█ OVERVIEW
Portfolio Backtester Engine (PBTE). This tool will allow you to backtest strategies across multiple securities at once. Allowing you to easier understand if your strategy is robust. If you are familiar with the PineCoders backtesting engine , then you will find this indicator pleasant to work with as it is an adaptation based on that work. Much of the functionality has been kept the same, or enhanced, with some minor adjustments I made on the account of creating a more subjectively intuitive tool.
█ HISTORY
The original purpose of the backtesting engine (`BTE`) was to bridge the gap between strategies and studies . Previously, strategies did not contain the ability to send alerts, but were necessary for backtesting. Studies on the other hand were necessary for sending alerts, but could not provide backtesting results . Often, traders would have to manage two separate Pine scripts to take advantage of each feature, this was less than ideal.
The `BTE` published by PineCoders offered a solution to this issue by generating backtesting results under the context of a study(). This allowed traders to backtest their strategy and simultaneously generate alerts for automated trading, thus eliminating the need for a separate strategy() script (though, even converting the engine to a strategy was made simple by the PineCoders!).
Fast forward a couple years and PineScript evolved beyond these issues and alerts were introduced into strategies. The BTE was not quite as necessary anymore, but is still extremely useful as it contains extra features and data not found under the strategy() context. Below is an excerpt of features contained by the BTE:
"""
More than `40` built-in strategies,
Customizable components,
Coupling with your own external indicator,
Simple conversion from Study to Strategy modes,
Post-Exit analysis to search for alternate trade outcomes,
Use of the Data Window to show detailed bar by bar trade information and global statistics, including some not provided by TV backtesting,
Plotting of reminders and generation of alerts on in-trade events.
"""
Before I go any further, I want to be clear that the BTE is STILL a good tool and it is STILL very useful. The Portfolio Backtesting Engine I am introducing is only a tangental advancement and not to be confused as a replacement, this tool would not have been possible without the `BTE`.
█ THE PROBLEM
Most strategies built in Pine are limited by one thing. Data. Backtesting should be a rigorous process and researchers should examine the performance of their strategy across all market regimes; that includes, bullish and bearish markets, ranging markets, low volatility and high volatility. Depending on your TV subscription The Pine Engine is limited to 5k-20k historical bars available for backtesting, which can often leave the strategy results wanting. As a general rule of thumb, strategies should be tested across a quantity of historical bars which will allow for at least 100 trades. In many cases, the lack of historical bars available for backtesting and frequency of the strategy signals produces less than 100 trades, rendering your strategy results inconclusive.
█ THE SOLUTION
In order to be confident that we have a robust strategy we must test it across all market regimes and we must have over 100 trades. To do this effectively, researchers can use the Portfolio Backtesting Engine (PBTE).
By testing a strategy across a carefully selected portfolio of securities, researchers can now gather 5k-20k historical bars per security! Currently, the PTBE allows up to 5 securities, which amounts to 25k-100k historical bars.
█ HOW TO USE
1 — Add the indicator to your chart.
• Confirm inputs. These will be the most important initial values which you can change later by clicking the gear icon ⚙ and opening up the settings of the indicator.
2 — Select a portfolio.
• You will want to spend some time carefully selecting a portfolio of securities.
• Each security should be uncorrelated.
• The entire portfolio should contain a mix of different market regimes.
You should understand that strategies generally take advantage of one particular type of market regime. (trending, ranging, low/high volatility)
For example, the default RSI strategy is typically advantageous during ranging markets, whereas a typical moving average crossover strategy is advantageous in trending markets.
If you were to use the standard RSI strategy during a trending market, you might be selling when you should be buying.
Similarily, if you use an SMA crossover during a ranging market, you will find that the MA's may produce many false signals.
Even if you build a strategy that is designed to be used only in a trending market, it is still best to select a portfolio of all market regimes
as you will be able to test how your strategy will perform when the market does something unexpected.
3 — Test a built-in strategy or add your own.
• Navigate to gear icon ⚙ (settings) of strategy.
• Choose your options.
• Select a Main Entry Strat and Alternate Entry Strat .
• If you want to add your own strategy, you will need to modify the source code and follow the built-in example.
• You will only need to generate (buy 1 / sell -1/ neutral 0) signals.
• Select a Filter , by default these are all off.
• Select an Entry Stop - This will be your stop loss placed at the trade entry.
• Select Pyamiding - This will allow you to stack positions. By default this is off.
• Select Hard Exits - You can also think of these as Take Profits.
• Let the strategy run and take note of the display tables results.
• Portfolio - Shows each security.
• The strategy runs on each asset in your portfolio.
• The initial capital is equally distributed across each security.
So if you have 5 securities and a starting capital of 100,000$ then each security will run the strategy starting with 20,000$
The total row will aggregate the results on a bar by bar basis showing the total results of your initial capital.
• Net Profit (NP) - Shows profitability.
• Number of Trades (#T) - Shows # of trades taken during backtesting period.
• Typically will want to see this number greater than 100 on the "Total" row.
• Average Trade Length (ATL) - Shows average # of days in a trade.
• Maximum Drawdown (MD ) - Max peak-to-valley equity drawdown during backtesting period.
• This number defines the minimum amount of capital required to trade the system.
• Typically, this shouldn’t be lower than 34% and we will want to allow for at least 50% beyond this number.
• Maximum Loss (ML) - Shows largest loss experienced on a per-trade basis.
• Normally, don’t want to exceed more than 1-2 % of equity.
• Maximum Drawdown Duration (MDD) - The longest duration of a drawdown in equity prior to a new equity peak.
• This number is important to help us psychologically understand how long we can expect to wait for a new peak in account equity.
• Maximum Consecutive Losses (MCL) - The max consecutive losses endured throughout the backtesting period.
• Another important metric for trader psychology, this will help you understand how many losses you should be prepared to handle.
• Profit to Maximum Drawdown (P:MD) - A ratio for the average profit to the maximum drawdown.
• The higher the ratio is, the better. Large profits and small losses contribute to a good PMD.
• This metric allows us to examine the profit with respect to risk.
• Profit Loss Ratio (P:L) - Average profit over the average loss.
• Typically this number should be higher in trend following systems.
• Mean reversion systems show lower values, but compensate with a better win %.
• Percent Winners (% W) - The percentage of winning trades.
• Trend systems will usually have lower win percentages, since statistically the market is only trending roughly 30% of the time.
• Mean reversion systems typically should have a high % W.
• Time Percentage (Time %) - The amount of time that the system has an open position.
• The more time you are in the market, the more you are exposed to market risk, not to mention you could be using that money for something else right?
• Return on Investment (ROI) - Your Net Profit over your initial investment, represented as a percentage.
• You want this number to be positive and high.
• Open Profit (OP) - If the strategy has any open positions, the floating value will be represented here.
• Trading Days (TD) - An important metric showing how many days the strategy was active.
• This is good to know and will be valuable in understanding how long you will need to run this strategy in order to achieve results.
█ FEATURES
These are additional features that extend the original `BTE` features.
- Portfolio backtesting.
- Color coded performance results.
- Circuit Breakers that will stop trading.
- Position reversals on exit. (Simulating the function of always in the market. Similar to strategy.entry functionality)
- Whipsaw Filter
- Moving Average Filter
- Minimum Change Filter
- % Gain Equity Exit
- Popular strategies, (MACD, MA cross, supertrend)
Below are features that were excluded from the original `BTE`
- 2 stage in-trade stops with kick-in rules (This was a subjective decision to remove. I found it to be complex and thwarted my use of the `BTE` for some time.)
- Simple conversion from Study to Strategy modes. (Not possible with multiple securities)
- Coupling with your own external indicator (Not really practical to use with multiple securities, but could be used if signals were generated based on some indicator which was not based on the current chart)
- Use of the Data Window to show detailed bar by bar trade information and global statistics.
- Post Exit Analysis.
- Plotting of reminders and generation of alerts on in-trade events.
- Alerts (These may be added in the future by request when I find the time.)
█ THANKS
The whole PineCoders team for all their shared knowledge and original publication of the BTE and Richard Weismann for his ideas on building robust strategies.
═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
MACD+ Strategy [SystemAlpha]This is a strategy based on MACD Oscillator . Instead of using just the normal crossovers, we use trend filters, trailing stop loss and take profit targets. This strategy was developed for crypto, forex and stocks on daily timeframe but feel free to experiment on 15 minutes or higher using heikin ashi or normal candles
In this strategy you have a choice of:
Trend Filters:
- Average Directional Index ( ADX ) – buy when price is trend is up and sell when trend is down.
- Moving Average (MA) – buy when price close above the defined moving average and sell when price close below moving average
- Parabolic SAR – buy when SAR is above price is above price and sell when SAR is below price.
- All - Use ADX , MA and SAR as filters
For MA Filter , you can use the “TF MA Type” and "TF MA Period" parameter to select Simple or Exponential Moving Average and length.
Stop Loss:
- Average True Range (ATR) – ATR % stop as trailing stop loss.
- Parabolic SAR ( SAR ) – Parabolic SAR adapted as trailing stop loss.
For ATR , you can use the “ATR Trailing Stop Multiplier” parameter to set an initial offset for trailing stop loss.
Take Profit Target:
- Average True Range (ATR) – ATR % stop as trailing stop loss.
- Standard % – Percent as target profit
For ATR , you can use the “ATR Take Profit Multiplier” parameter to set an initial offset for trailing stop loss.
Additional feature include:
- Regular and Hidden Divergence display and alerts
STRATEGY ONLY:
- Set back test date range
- Set trade direction - Long, Short or Both
- Use timed exit - Select method and bars
- Method 1: Exit after specified number of bars.
- Method 2: Exit after specified number of bars, ONLY if position is currently profitable.
- Method 3: Exit after specified number of bars, ONLY if position is currently losing.
TradingView Links:
Alerts:
MACD:
How to use:
1. Apply the script by browsing through Indicators --> Invite-Only scripts and select the indicator
2. Once loaded, click the gear (settings) button to select/adjust the parameters based on your preference.
3. Wait for the next BUY or SELL signal to enter the trade!
Disclaimer:
The indicator and signals generated do not constitute investment advice; are provided solely for informational purposes and therefore is not an offer to buy or sell a security; are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate; and are subject to change without notice.
Heiken Ashi Supertrend ATR-SL StrategyThis indicator combines Heikin Ashi candle pattern analysis with Supertrend to generate high-probability trading signals with built-in risk management. It identifies potential entries and exits based on specific Heikin Ashi candlestick formations while providing automated ATR-based stop loss management.
Trading Logic:
The system generates long signals when a green Heikin Ashi candle forms with no bottom wick (indicating strong bullish momentum). Short signals appear when a red Heikin Ashi candle forms with no top wick (showing strong bearish momentum). The absence of wicks on these candles signals a high-conviction market move in the respective direction.
Exit signals are triggered when:
1. An opposite pattern forms (red candle with no top wick exits longs; green candle with no bottom wick exits shorts)
2. The ATR-based stop loss is hit
3. The break-even stop is activated and then hit
Technical Approach:
- Select Heiken Ashi Canldes on your Trading View chart. Entried are based on HA prices.
- Supertrend and ATR-based stop losses use real price data (not HA values) for trend determination
- ATR-based stop losses automatically adjust to market volatility
- Break-even functionality moves the stop to entry price once price moves a specified ATR multiple in your favor
Risk Management:
- Default starting capital: 1000 units
- Default risk per trade: 10% of equity (customizable in strategy settings)
- Hard Stop Loss: Set ATR multiplier (default: 2.0) for automatic stop placement
- Break Even: Configure ATR threshold (default: 1.0) to activate break-even stops
- Appropriate position sizing relative to equity and stop distance
Customization Options:
- Supertrend Settings:
- Enable/disable Supertrend filtering (trade only in confirmed trend direction)
- Adjust Factor (default: 3.0) to change sensitivity
- Modify ATR Period (default: 10) to adapt to different timeframes
Visual Elements:
- Green triangles for long entries, blue triangles for short entries
- X-marks for exits and stop loss hits
- Color-coded position background (green for long, blue for short)
- Clearly visible stop loss lines (red for hard stop, white for break-even)
- Comprehensive position information label with entry price and stop details
Implementation Notes:
The indicator tracks positions internally and maintains state across bars to properly manage stop levels. All calculations use confirmed bars only, with no repainting or lookahead bias. The system is designed for swing trading on timeframes from 1-hour and above, where Heikin Ashi patterns tend to be more reliable.
This indicator is best suited for traders looking to combine the pattern recognition strengths of Heikin Ashi candles with the trend-following capabilities of Supertrend, all while maintaining disciplined risk management through automated stops.
AO Smart Scalper – 5M Dynamic SL Edition📈 AO Signals with Fixed and Dynamic SL – Optimized for 5-Minute Charts 📉
This indicator is built for 5-minute timeframe trading, combining powerful momentum signals from the Awesome Oscillator (AO) with both Fixed and Dynamic Stop Loss (SL) levels to enhance trade management and risk control.
✅ Buy/Sell Signals:
The indicator generates clear BUY and SELL signals based on the AO crossing above or below the zero line, helping traders capture momentum shifts early.
🛑 Fixed Stop Loss:
Each trade signal comes with a Fixed SL, calculated based on the high (for shorts) or low (for longs) of the previous candle, with a customizable percentage offset. This SL is plotted with a red line, providing a clear initial risk level.
⚡ Dynamic Stop Loss: Continuous Presence, Strategic Use:
A secondary Dynamic SL line is plotted, which is continuously present on the chart. This dynamic level responds to market conditions and can serve as a trailing stop or key decision point.
💡 Recommended Use: It is recommended to actively start using the Dynamic SL once the trade has moved into profit. This allows protecting obtained profits and minimizing the risk of losses in case of a market reversal.
🛡️ Enhanced Dynamic Stop-Loss Strategy:
🔒 Initial Protection: Utilize the Fixed SL as the initial stop-loss, placed below relevant lows (for longs) or above relevant highs (for shorts), or as provided by the fixed SL indicator.
🛤️ Dynamic Tracking:
🟢 Long Trades: Once in profit, the Dynamic SL will dynamically adjust, moving upwards as higher lows are formed, effectively trailing the price and securing profits.
🔴 Short Trades: Conversely, in short trades, once in profit, the Dynamic SL will move downwards as lower highs are formed, protecting gains.
🔄 Alternatively the dynamic stop loss will follow the dynamic SL line provided by the indicator.
🚪 Exiting Trades: When the price crosses below the Dynamic SL line in a LONG trade, or above it in a SHORT trade, the recommended action is to exit the trade.
↩️ Re-entry Consideration: You may consider re-entering only if the price clearly returns above the Dynamic SL (for longs) or below it (for shorts).
⚠️ IMPORTANT - 5-Minute Strategy Guidance ⏱️
This tool is specifically optimized for the 5-minute timeframe. This approach helps filter out weak setups and maintain discipline in volatile market conditions.
✨ Additional Features:
👁️ Visual and editable SL levels
📊 200-period SMA for trend context
💻 Simple and effective interface for intraday trading setups
🎯 Ideal for traders seeking a clean, rule-based system that combines momentum entry signals with layered stop loss protection.
🔑 Key Changes:
It was emphasized that the Dynamic SL is always present, but its active use is recommended once the trade is in profit.
It was clarified the use of the Fixed SL, giving the option to use the one provided by the indicator, or to place it according to the price action.
Smart MA Crossover BacktesterSmart MA Crossover Backtester - Strategy Overview
Strategy Name: Smart MA Crossover Backtester
Published on: TradingView
Applicable Markets: Works well on crypto (tested profitably on ETH)
Strategy Concept
The Smart MA Crossover Backtester is an improved Moving Average (MA) crossover strategy that incorporates a trend filter and an ATR-based stop loss & take profit mechanism for better risk management. It aims to capture trends efficiently while reducing false signals by only trading in the direction of the long-term trend.
Core Components & Logic
Moving Averages (MA) for Entry Signals
Fast Moving Average (9-period SMA)
Slow Moving Average (21-period SMA)
A trade signal is generated when the fast MA crosses the slow MA.
Trend Filter (200-period SMA)
Only enters long positions if price is above the 200-period SMA (bullish trend).
Only enters short positions if price is below the 200-period SMA (bearish trend).
This helps in avoiding counter-trend trades, reducing whipsaws.
ATR-Based Stop Loss & Take Profit
Uses the Average True Range (ATR) with a multiplier of 2 to calculate stop loss.
Risk-Reward Ratio = 1:2 (Take profit is set at 2x ATR).
This ensures dynamic stop loss and take profit levels based on market volatility.
Trading Rules
✅ Long Entry (Buy Signal):
Fast MA (9) crosses above Slow MA (21)
Price is above the 200 MA (bullish trend filter active)
Stop Loss: Below entry price by 2× ATR
Take Profit: Above entry price by 4× ATR
✅ Short Entry (Sell Signal):
Fast MA (9) crosses below Slow MA (21)
Price is below the 200 MA (bearish trend filter active)
Stop Loss: Above entry price by 2× ATR
Take Profit: Below entry price by 4× ATR
Why This Strategy Works Well for Crypto (ETH)?
🔹 Crypto markets are highly volatile – ATR-based stop loss adapts dynamically to market conditions.
🔹 Long-term trend filter (200 MA) ensures trading in the dominant direction, reducing false signals.
🔹 Risk-reward ratio of 1:2 allows for profitable trades even with a lower win rate.
This strategy has been tested on Ethereum (ETH) and has shown profitable performance, making it a strong choice for crypto traders looking for trend-following setups with solid risk management. 🚀
Dual Strategy Selector V2 - CryptogyaniOverview:
This script provides traders with a dual-strategy system that they can toggle between using a simple dropdown menu in the input settings. It is designed to cater to different trading styles and needs, offering both simplicity and advanced filtering techniques. The strategies are built around moving average crossovers, enhanced by configurable risk management tools like take profit levels, trailing stops, and ATR-based stop-loss.
Key Features:
Two Strategies in One Script:
Strategy 1: A classic moving average crossover strategy for identifying entry signals based on trend reversals. Includes user-defined take profit and trailing stop-loss options for profit locking.
Strategy 2: An advanced trend-following system that incorporates:
A higher timeframe trend filter to confirm entry signals.
ATR-based stop-loss for dynamic risk management.
Configurable partial take profit to secure gains while letting the trade run.
Highly Customizable:
All key parameters such as SMA lengths, take profit levels, ATR multiplier, and timeframe for the trend filter are adjustable via the input settings.
Dynamic Toggle:
Traders can switch between Strategy 1 and Strategy 2 with a single dropdown, allowing them to adapt the strategy to market conditions.
How It Works:
Strategy 1:
Entry Logic: A long trade is triggered when the fast SMA crosses above the slow SMA.
Exit Logic: The trade exits at either a user-defined take profit level (percentage or pips) or via an optional trailing stop that dynamically adjusts based on price movement.
Strategy 2:
Entry Logic: Builds on the SMA crossover logic but adds a higher timeframe trend filter to align trades with the broader market direction.
Risk Management:
ATR-Based Stop-Loss: Protects against adverse moves with a volatility-adjusted stop-loss.
Partial Take Profit: Allows traders to secure a percentage of gains while keeping some exposure for extended trends.
How to Use:
Select Your Strategy:
Use the dropdown in the input settings to choose Strategy 1 or Strategy 2.
Configure Parameters:
Adjust SMA lengths, take profit, and risk management settings to align with your trading style.
For Strategy 2, specify the higher timeframe for trend filtering.
Deploy and Monitor:
Apply the script to your preferred asset and timeframe.
Use the backtest results to fine-tune settings for optimal performance.
Why Choose This Script?:
This script stands out due to its dual-strategy flexibility and enhanced features:
For beginners: Strategy 1 provides a simple yet effective trend-following system with minimal setup.
For advanced traders: Strategy 2 includes powerful tools like trend filters and ATR-based stop-loss, making it ideal for challenging market conditions.
By combining simplicity with advanced features, this script offers something for everyone while maintaining full transparency and user customization.
Default Settings:
Strategy 1:
Fast SMA: 21, Slow SMA: 49
Take Profit: 7% or 50 pips
Trailing Stop: Optional (disabled by default)
Strategy 2:
Fast SMA: 20, Slow SMA: 50
ATR Multiplier: 1.5
Partial Take Profit: 50%
Higher Timeframe: 1 Day (1D)
ETH Signal 15m
This strategy uses the Supertrend indicator combined with RSI to generate buy and sell signals, with stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP) conditions based on ATR (Average True Range). Below is a detailed explanation of each part:
1. General Information BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
Strategy Name: "ETH Signal 15m"
Designed for use on the 15-minute time frame for the ETH pair.
Default capital allocation is 15% of total equity for each trade.
2. Backtest Period
start_time and end_time: Define the start and end time of the backtest period.
start_time = 2024-08-01: Start date of the backtest.
end_time = 2054-01-01: End date of the backtest.
The strategy will only run when the current time falls within this specified range.
3. Supertrend Indicator
Supertrend is a trend-following indicator that provides buy or sell signals based on the direction of price changes.
factor = 2.76: The multiplier used in the Supertrend calculation (increasing this value makes the Supertrend less sensitive to price movements).
atrPeriod = 12: Number of periods used to calculate ATR.
Output:
direction: Determines the buy/sell direction based on Supertrend.
If direction decreases, it signals a buy (Long).
If direction increases, it signals a sell (Short).
4. RSI Indicator
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a momentum indicator, often used to identify overbought or oversold conditions.
rsiLength = 12: Number of periods used to calculate RSI.
rsiOverbought = 70: RSI level considered overbought.
rsiOversold = 30: RSI level considered oversold.
5. Entry Conditions
Long Entry:
Supertrend gives a buy signal (ta.change(direction) < 0).
RSI must be below the overbought level (rsi < rsiOverbought).
Short Entry:
Supertrend gives a sell signal (ta.change(direction) > 0).
RSI must be above the oversold level (rsi > rsiOversold).
The strategy will only execute trades if the current time is within the backtest period (in_date_range).
6. Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) Conditions
ATR (Average True Range) is used to calculate the distance for Stop Loss and Take Profit based on price volatility.
atr = ta.atr(atrPeriod): ATR is calculated using 12 periods.
Stop Loss and Take Profit are calculated as follows:
Long Trade:
Stop Loss: Set at close - 4 * atr (current price minus 4 times the ATR).
Take Profit: Set at close + 2 * atr (current price plus 2 times the ATR).
Short Trade:
Stop Loss: Set at close + 4 * atr (current price plus 4 times the ATR).
Take Profit: Set at close - 2.237 * atr (current price minus 2.237 times the ATR).
Summary:
This strategy enters a Long trade when the Supertrend indicates an upward trend and RSI is not in the overbought region. Conversely, a Short trade is entered when Supertrend signals a downtrend, and RSI is not oversold.
The trade is exited when the price reaches the Stop Loss or Take Profit levels, which are determined based on price volatility (ATR).
Disclaimer:
The content provided in this strategy is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended as financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading in cryptocurrency, stocks, or any financial markets involves significant risk, and you may lose more than your initial investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of profit can be made. You should consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this strategy is not responsible for any financial losses or damages incurred as a result of following this strategy. All trades are executed at your own risk.
Fractal Breakout Trend Following StrategyOverview
The Fractal Breakout Trend Following Strategy is a trend-following system which utilizes the Willams Fractals and Alligator to execute the long trades on the fractal's breakouts which have a high probability to be the new uptrend phase beginning. This system also uses the normalized Average True Range indicator to filter trades after a large moves, because it's more likely to see the trend continuation after a consolidation period. Strategy can execute only long trades.
Unique Features
Trend and volatility filtering system: Strategy uses Williams Alligator to filter the counter-trend fractals breakouts and normalized Average True Range to avoid the trades after large moves, when volatility is high
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Flexible Risk Management: Users can choose the stop-loss percent (by default = 3%) for trades, but strategy also has the dynamic stop-loss level using down fractals.
Methodology
The strategy places stop order at the last valid fractal breakout level. Validity of this fractal is defined by the Williams Alligator indicator. If at the moment of time when price breaking the last fractal price is higher than Alligator's teeth line (8 period SMA shifted 5 bars in the future) this is a valid breakout. Moreover strategy has the additional volatility filtering system using normalized ATR. It calculates the average normalized ATR for last user-defined number of bars and if this value lower than the user-defined threshold value the long trade is executed.
When trade is opened, script places the stop loss at the price higher of two levels: user defined stop-loss from the position entry price or down fractal validation level. The down fractal is valid with the rule, opposite as the up fractal validation. Price shall break to the downside the last down fractal below the Willians Alligator's teeth line.
Strategy has no fixed take profit. Exit level changes with the down fractal validation level. If price is in strong uptrend trade is going to be active until last down fractal is not valid. Strategy closes trade when price hits the down fractal validation level.
Risk Management
The strategy employs a combined approach to risk management:
It allows positions to ride the trend as long as the price continues to move favorably, aiming to capture significant price movements. It features a user-defined stop-loss parameter to mitigate risks based on individual risk tolerance. By default, this stop-loss is set to a 3% drop from the entry point, but it can be adjusted according to the trader's preferences.
Justification of Methodology
This strategy leverages Williams Fractals to open long trade when price has broken the key resistance level to the upside. This resistance level is the last up fractal and is shall be broken above the Williams Alligator's teeth line to be qualified as the valid breakout according to this strategy. The Alligator filtering increases the probability to avoid the false breakouts against the current trend.
Moreover strategy has an additional filter using Average True Range(ATR) indicator. If average value of ATR for the last user-defined number of bars is lower than user-defined threshold strategy can open the long trade according to open trade condition above. The logic here is following: we want to open trades after period of price consolidation inside the range because before and after a big move price is more likely to be in sideways, but we need a trend move to have a profit.
Another one important feature is how the exit condition is defined. On the one hand, strategy has the user-defined stop-loss (3% below the entry price by default). It's made to give users the opportunity to restrict their losses according to their risk-tolerance. On the other hand, strategy utilizes the dynamic exit level which is defined by down fractal activation. If we assume the breaking up fractal is the beginning of the uptrend, breaking down fractal can be the start of downtrend phase. We don't want to be in long trade if there is a high probability of reversal to the downside. This approach helps to not keep open trade if trend is not developing and hold it if price continues going up.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.05.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 30%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -3.19%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.97%
Net Profit: +3036.90 USDT (+30.37%)
Total Trades: 83 (28.92% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.953
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 963.98 USDT (-8.29%)
Average Profit per Trade: 36.59 USDT (+1.12%)
Average Trade Duration: 72 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h and higher time frames and the BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Momentum Alligator 4h Bitcoin StrategyOverview
The Momentum Alligator 4h Bitcoin Strategy is a trend-following trading system that operates on dual time frames. It utilizes the 1D Williams Alligator indicator to identify the prevailing major price trend and seeks trading opportunities on the 4-hour (4h) time frame when the momentum is turning up. The strategy is designed to close trades if the trend fails to develop or holding position if price continues increasing without any significant correction. Note that this strategy is specifically tailored for the 4-hour time frame.
Unique Features
2-layers market noise filtering system: Trades are only initiated in the direction of the 1D trend, determined by the Williams Alligator indicator. This higher time frame confirmation filters out minor trade signals, focusing on more substantial opportunities. At the same time, strategy has additional filter on 4h time frame with Awesome Oscillator which is showing the current price momentum.
Flexible Risk Management: The strategy exclusively opens long positions, resulting in fewer trades during bear markets. It incorporates a dynamic stop-loss mechanism, which can either follow the jaw line of the 4h Alligator or a user-defined fixed stop-loss. This flexibility helps manage risk and avoid non-trending markets.
Methodology
The strategy initiates a long position when the d-line of Stochastic RSI crosses up it's k-line. It means that there is a high probability that price momentum reversed from down to up. To avoid overtrading in potentially choppy markets, it skips the next two trades following a winning trade, anticipating sideways movement after a significant price surge.
This strategy has two layers trades filtering system: 4h and 1D time frames. The first one is awesome oscillator. It shall be increasing and value has to be higher than it's 5-period SMA. This is an additional confirmation that long trade is opened in the direction of the current momentum. As it was mentioned above, all entry signals are validated against the 1D Williams Alligator indicator. A trade is only opened if the price is above all three lines of the 1D Alligator, ensuring alignment with the major trend.
A trade is closed if the price hits the 4h jaw line of the Alligator or reaches the user-defined stop-loss level.
Risk Management
The strategy employs a combined approach to risk management:
It allows positions to ride the trend as long as the price continues to move favorably, aiming to capture significant price movements. It features a user-defined stop-loss parameter to mitigate risks based on individual risk tolerance. By default, this stop-loss is set to a 2% drop from the entry point, but it can be adjusted according to the trader's preferences.
Justification of Methodology
This strategy leverages Stochastic RSI on 4h time frame to open long trade when momentum started reversing to the upside. On the one hand, Stochastic RSI is one of the most sensitive indicator, which allows to react fast on the potential trend reversal. On the other hand, this indicator can be too sensitive and provide a lot of false trend changing signals. To eliminate this weakness we use two-layers trades filtering system.
The first layer is the 4h Awesome oscillator. This is less sensitive momentum indicator. Usually it starts increasing when price has already passed significant distance from the actual reversal point. The strategy opens long trade only is Awesome oscillator is increasing and above it's 5-period SMA. This approach increases the probability to filter the false signals during the choppy market or if the reversal is false.
The second layer filter is the Williams Alligator indicator on 1D time frame. The 1D Alligator serves as a filter for identifying the primary trend and increases probability to avoid the trades with low potential because trading against major trend usually is more risky. It's much better to catch the trend continuation than local bounce.
Last but not least feature of this strategy is close trades condition. It uses the flexible approach. First of all, user can set up the fixed stop-loss according to his own risk-tolerance, by default this value is 2% of price movement. It restricts the potential loss at the moment when trade has just been opened. Moreover strategy utilizes the 4h Williams Alligator's jaw line to exit the trade. If price fell below it trade is closed. This approach helps to not keep open trade if trend is not developing and hold it if price continues going up.
Backtest Results:
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2021.01.01 - 2024.05.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 50%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -3.04%
Maximum Single Profit: +29.67%
Net Profit: +6228.01 USDT (+62.28%)
Total Trades: 118 (24.58% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.71
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 1527.69 USDT (-11.52%)
Average Profit per Trade: 52.78 USDT (+0.89%)
Average Trade Duration: 60 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use:
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the 4h timeframe desired chart (optimal performance observed on the BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
MACD of Relative Strenght StrategyMACD Relative Strenght Strategy :
INTRODUCTION :
This strategy is based on two well-known indicators: MACD and Relative Strenght (RS). By coupling them, we obtain powerful buy signals. In fact, the special feature of this strategy is that it creates an indicator from an indicator. Thus, we construct a MACD whose source is the value of the RS. The strategy only takes buy signals, ignoring SHORT signals as they are mostly losers. There's also a money management method enabling us to reinvest part of the profits or reduce the size of orders in the event of substantial losses.
RELATIVE STRENGHT :
RS is an indicator that measures the anomaly between momentum and the assumption of market efficiency. It is used by professionals and is one of the most robust indicators. The idea is to own assets that do better than average, based on their past performance. We calculate RS using this formula :
RS = close/highest_high(RS_Length)
Where highest_high(RS_Length) = highest value of the high over a user-defined time period (which is the RS_Length).
We can thus situate the current price in relation to its highest price over this user-defined period.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence - Divergence) :
This is one of the best-known indicators, measuring the distance between two exponential moving averages : one fast and one slower. A wide distance indicates fast momentum and vice versa. We'll plot the value of this distance and call this line macdline. The MACD uses a third moving average with a lower period than the first two. This last moving average will give a signal when it crosses the macdline. It is therefore constructed using the values of the macdline as its source.
It's important to note that the first two MAs are constructed using RS values as their source. So we've just built an indicator of an indicator. This kind of method is very powerful because it is rarely used and brings value to the strategy.
PARAMETERS :
RS Length : Relative Strength length i.e. the number of candles back to find the highest high and compare the current price with this high. Default is 300.
MACD Fast Length : Relative Strength fast EMA length used to plot the MACD. Default is 14.
MACD Slow Length : Relative Strength slow EMA length used to plot the MACD. Default is 26.
MACD Signal Smoothing : Macdline SMA length used to plot the MACD. Default is 10.
Max risk per trade (in %) : The maximum loss a trade can incur (in percentage of the trade value). Default is 8%.
Fixed Ratio : This is the amount of gain or loss at which the order quantity is changed. Default is 400, meaning that for each $400 gain or loss, the order size is increased or decreased by a user-selected amount.
Increasing Order Amount : This is the amount to be added to or subtracted from orders when the fixed ratio is reached. The default is $200, which means that for every $400 gain, $200 is reinvested in the strategy. On the other hand, for every $400 loss, the order size is reduced by $200.
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Important : A bot has been used to test the different parameters and determine which ones maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BITSTAMP:ETHUSD in 8h timeframe with the parameters set by default.
ENTER RULES :
The entry rules are very simple : we open a long position when the MACD value turns positive. You are therefore LONG when the MACD is green.
EXIT RULES :
We exit a position (whether losing or winning) when the MACD becomes negative, i.e. turns red.
RISK MANAGEMENT :
This strategy can incur losses, so it's important to manage our risks well. If the position is losing and has incurred a loss of -8%, our stop loss is activated to limit losses.
MONEY MANAGEMENT :
The fixed ratio method was used to manage our gains and losses. For each gain of an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we increase the order size by a value defined by the user in the "Increasing order amount" parameter. Similarly, each time we lose an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we decrease the order size by the same user-defined value. This strategy increases both performance and drawdown.
Enjoy the strategy and don't forget to take the trade :)
Bollinger Bands Strategy with Intraday Intensity IndexFor Educational Purposes. Results can differ on different markets and can fail at any time. Profit is not guaranteed.
This only works in a few markets and in certain situations. Changing the settings can give better or worse results for other markets.
This is a mean reversion strategy based on Bollinger Bands and the Intraday Intensity Index (a volume indicator). John Bollinger mentions that the Intraday Intensity Index can be used with Bollinger Bands and is one of the top indicators he recommends in his book. It seems he prefers it over the other volume indicators that he compares to for some reason. III looks a lot like Chaikin Money Flow but without the denominator in that calculation. On the default settings of the BBs, the III helps give off better entry signals. John Bollinger however is vague on how to use the BBs and it's hard to say if one should enter when it is below/above the bands or when the price crosses them. I find that with many indicators and strategies it's best to wait for a confirmation of some sort, in this case by waiting for some crossover of a band. Like most mean reversion strategies, the exit is very loose if using BBs alone. Usually the plan to exit is when the price finally reverts back to the mean or in this case the middle band. This can potentially lead to huge drawdowns and/or losses. Mean reversion strategies can have high win/loss ratios but can still end up unprofitable because of the huge losses that can occur. These drawdowns/losses that mean reversion strategies suffer from can potentially eat away at a large chunk of all that was previously made or perhaps up to all of it in the worst cases, can occur weeks or perhaps up to months after being profitable trading such a strategy, and will take a while and several trades to make it all back or keep a profitable track record. It is important to have a stop loss, trailing stop, or some sort of stop plan with these types of strategies. For this one, in addition to exiting the trade when price reverts to the middle band, I included a time-based stop plan that exits with a gain or with a loss to avoid potentially large losses, and to exit after only a few periods after taking the trade if in profit instead of waiting for the price to revert back to the mean.
Quantum State Superposition Indicator (QSSI)Quantum State Superposition Indicator (QSSI) - Where Physics Meets Finance
The Quantum Revolution in Market Analysis
After months of research into quantum mechanics and its applications to financial markets, I'm thrilled to present the Quantum State Superposition Indicator (QSSI) - a groundbreaking approach that models price action through the lens of quantum physics. This isn't just another technical indicator; it's a paradigm shift in how we understand market behavior.
The Theoretical Foundation
Quantum Superposition in Markets
In quantum mechanics, particles exist in multiple states simultaneously until observed. Similarly, markets exist in a superposition of potential states (bullish, bearish, neutral) until a significant volume event "collapses" the wave function into a definitive direction.
The mathematical framework:
Wave Function (Ψ): Represents the market's quantum state as a weighted sum of all possible states:
Ψ = Σ(αᵢ × Sᵢ)
Where αᵢ are probability amplitudes and Sᵢ are individual quantum states.
Probability Amplitudes: Calculated using the Born rule, normalized so Σ|αᵢ|² = 1
Observation Operator: Volume/Average Volume ratio determines observation strength
The Five Quantum States
Momentum State: Short-term price velocity (EMA of returns)
Mean Reversion State: Deviation from equilibrium (normalized z-score)
Volatility Expansion State: ATR relative to historical average
Trend Continuation State: Long-term price positioning
Chaos State: Volatility of volatility (market uncertainty)
Each state contributes to the overall wave function based on current market conditions.
Wave Function Collapse
When volume exceeds the observation threshold (default 1.5x average), the wave function "collapses," committing the market to a direction. This models how institutional volume forces markets out of uncertainty into trending states.
Collapse Detection Formula:
Collapse = Volume > (Threshold × Average Volume)
Direction = Sign(Ψ) at collapse moment
Advanced Quantum Concepts
Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle
The indicator calculates market uncertainty as the product of price and momentum
uncertainties:
ΔP × ΔM = ℏ (market uncertainty constant)
This manifests as dynamic uncertainty bands that widen during unstable periods.
Quantum Tunneling
Calculates the probability of price "tunneling" through resistance/support barriers:
P(tunnel) = e^(-2×|barrier_height|×√coherence_length)
Unlike classical technical analysis, this gives probability of breakouts before they occur.
Entanglement
Measures the quantum correlation between price and volume:
Entanglement = |Correlation(Price, Volume, lookback)|
High entanglement suggests coordinated institutional activity.
Decoherence
When market states lose quantum properties and behave classically:
Decoherence = 1 - Σ(amplitude²)
Indicates trend emergence from quantum uncertainty.
Visual Innovation
Probability Clouds
Three-tier probability distributions visualize market uncertainty:
Inner Cloud (68%): One standard deviation - most likely price range
Middle Cloud (95%): Two standard deviations - probable extremes
Outer Cloud (99.7%): Three standard deviations - tail risk zones
Cloud width directly represents market uncertainty - wider clouds signal higher entropy states.
Quantum State Visualization
Colored dots represent individual quantum states:
Green: Momentum state strength
Red: Mean reversion state strength
Yellow: Volatility state strength
Dot brightness indicates amplitude (influence) of each state.
Collapse Events
Aqua Diamonds (Above): Bullish collapse - upward commitment
Pink Diamonds (Below): Bearish collapse - downward commitment
These mark precise moments when markets exit superposition.
Implementation Details
Core Calculations
Feature Extraction: Normalize price returns, volume ratios, and volatility measures
State Calculation: Compute each quantum state's value
Amplitude Assignment: Weight states by market conditions and observation strength
Wave Function: Sum weighted states for final market quantum state
Visualization: Transform quantum values to price space for display
Performance Optimization
- Efficient array operations for state calculations
- Single-pass normalization algorithms
- Optimized correlation calculations for entanglement
- Smart label management to prevent visual clutter
Trading Applications:
Signal Generation
Bullish Signals:
- Positive wave function during collapse
- High tunneling probability at support
- Coherent market state with bullish bias
Bearish Signals:
- Negative wave function during collapse
- High tunneling probability at resistance
- Decoherent state transitioning bearish
Risk Management
Uncertainty-Based Position Sizing:
Narrow clouds: Normal position size
Wide clouds: Reduced position size
Extreme uncertainty: Stay flat
Quantum Stop Losses:
- Place stops outside probability clouds
- Adjust for Heisenberg uncertainty
- Respect quantum tunneling levels
Market Regime Recognition
Quantum Coherent (Superposed):
- Market in multiple states
- Avoid directional trades
- Prepare for collapse
Quantum Decoherent (Classical):
-Clear trend emergence
- Follow directional signals
- Traditional analysis applies
Advanced Features
Adaptive Dashboards
Quantum State Panel: Real-time wave function, dominant state, and coherence status
Performance Metrics: Win rate, signal frequency, and regime analysis
Information Guide: Comprehensive explanation of all quantum concepts
- All dashboards feature adjustable sizing for different screen resolutions.
Multi-Timeframe Quantum Analysis
The indicator adapts to any timeframe:
Scalping (1-5m): Short coherence length, sensitive thresholds
Day Trading (15m-1H): Balanced parameters
Swing Trading (4H-1D): Long coherence, stable states
Alert System
Sophisticated alerts for:
- Wave function collapse events
- Decoherence transitions
- High tunneling probability
- Strong entanglement detection
Originality & Innovation
This indicator introduces several firsts:
Quantum Superposition: First to model markets as quantum systems
Wave Function Collapse: Original volume-triggered state commitment
Tunneling Probability: Novel breakout prediction method
Entanglement Metrics: Unique price-volume quantum correlation
Probability Clouds: Revolutionary uncertainty visualization
Development Journey
Creating QSSI required:
- Deep study of quantum mechanics principles
- Translation of physics equations to market context
- Extensive backtesting across multiple markets
- UI/UX optimization for trader accessibility
- Performance optimization for real-time calculation
- The result bridges cutting-edge physics with practical trading.
Best Practices
Parameter Optimization
Quantum States (2-5):
- 2-3 for simple markets (forex majors)
- 4-5 for complex markets (indices, crypto)
Coherence Length (10-50):
- Lower for fast markets
- Higher for stable markets
Observation Threshold (1.0-3.0):
- Lower for active markets
- Higher for thin markets
Signal Confirmation
Always confirm quantum signals with:
- Market structure (support/resistance)
- Volume patterns
- Correlated assets
- Fundamental context
Risk Guidelines
- Never risk more than 2% per trade
- Respect probability cloud boundaries
- Exit on decoherence shifts
- Scale with confidence levels
Educational Value
QSSI teaches advanced concepts:
- Quantum mechanics applications
- Probability theory
- Non-linear dynamics
- Risk management
- Market microstructure
Perfect for traders seeking deeper market understanding.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and research purposes only. While quantum mechanics provides a fascinating framework for market analysis, no indicator can predict future prices with certainty. The probabilistic nature of both quantum mechanics and markets means outcomes are inherently uncertain.
Always use proper risk management, conduct thorough analysis, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Conclusion
The Quantum State Superposition Indicator represents a revolutionary approach to market analysis, bringing institutional-grade quantum modeling to retail traders. By viewing markets through the lens of quantum mechanics, we gain unique insights into uncertainty, probability, and state transitions that classical indicators miss.
Whether you're a physicist interested in finance or a trader seeking cutting-edge tools, QSSI opens new dimensions in market analysis.
"The market, like Schrödinger's cat, exists in multiple states until observed through volume."
* As you may have noticed, the past two indicators I've released (Lorentzian Classification and Quantum State Superposition) are designed with strategy implementation in mind. I'm currently developing a stable execution platform that's completely unique and moves away from traditional ATR-based position sizing and stop loss systems. I've found ATR-based approaches to be unreliable in volatile markets and regime transitions - they often lag behind actual market conditions and can lead to premature exits or oversized positions during volatility spikes.
The goal is to create something that adapts to market conditions in real-time using the quantum and relativistic principles we've been exploring. Hopefully I'll have something groundbreaking to share soon. Stay tuned!
Trade with quantum insight. Trade with QSSI .
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
Multi-Factor Reversal AnalyzerMulti-Factor Reversal Analyzer – Quantitative Reversal Signal System
OVERVIEW
Multi-Factor Reversal Analyzer is a comprehensive technical analysis toolkit designed to detect market tops and bottoms with high precision. It combines trend momentum analysis, price action behavior, wave oscillation structure, and volatility breakout potential into one unified indicator.
This indicator is not a random mix of tools — each module is carefully selected for a specific purpose. When combined, they form a multi-dimensional view of the market, merging trend analysis, momentum divergence, and volatility compression to produce high-confidence signals.
Why Combine These Modules?
Module Combination Ideas & How to Use Them
Factor A: Trend Detector + Gold Zone
Concept:
• The Trend Detector (light yellow histogram) evaluates market strength:
• Histogram trending downward or staying below 50 → bearish conditions;
• Trending upward or staying above 50 → bullish conditions.
• The Gold Zone identifies areas of volatility compression — typically a prelude to explosive market moves.
Practical Application:
• When the Gold Zone appears and the Trend Detector is bearish → likely downside move;
• When the Gold Zone appears and the Trend Detector is bullish → likely upside breakout.
• Note: The Gold Zone does not mean the bottom is in. It is not a buy signal on its own — always combine it with other modules for directional bias.
Factor B: PAI + Wave Trend
Concept:
• PAI (Price Action Index) is a custom oscillator that combines price momentum with volatility dispersion, displaying strength zones:
• Green area → bullish dominance;
• Red area → bearish pressure.
• Wave Trend offers smoothed crossover signals via the main and signal lines.
Practical Application:
• When PAI is in the green zone and Wave Trend makes a bullish crossover → potential reversal to the upside;
• When PAI is in the red zone and Wave Trend shows a bearish crossover → potential start of a downtrend.
Factor C: Trend Detector + PAI
Concept:
• Combines directional trend strength with price action strength to confirm setups via confluence.
Practical Application:
• Trend Detector histogram bottoms out + PAI enters the green zone → high chance of upward reversal;
• Histogram tops out + PAI in the red zone → increased likelihood of downside continuation.
Multi-Factor Confluence (Advanced Use)
• When Trend Detector, PAI, and Wave Trend all align in the same direction (bullish or bearish), the directional signal becomes significantly more reliable.
• This setup is especially useful for trend-following or swing trade entries.
KEY FEATURES
1. Multi-Layer Reversal Logic
• Combines trend scoring, oscillator divergence, and volatility squeezes for triangulated reversal detection.
• Helps traders distinguish between trend pullbacks and true reversals.
2. Advanced Divergence Detection
• Detects both regular and hidden divergences using pivot-based confirmation logic.
• Customizable lookback ranges and pivot sensitivity provide flexible tuning for different market styles.
3. Gold Zone Volatility Compression
• Highlights pre-breakout zones using custom oscillation models (RSI, harmonic, Karobein, etc.).
• Improves anticipation of breakout opportunities following low-volatility compressions.
4. Trend Direction Context
• PAI and Trend Score components provide top-down insight into prevailing bias.
• Built-in “Straddle Area” highlights consolidation zones; breakouts from this area often signal new trend phases.
5. Flexible Visualization
• Color-coded trend bars, reversal markers, normalized oscillator plots, and trend strength labels.
• Designed for both visual discretionary traders and data-driven system developers.
USAGE GUIDELINES
1. Applicable Markets
• Suitable for stocks, crypto, futures, and forex
• Supports reversal, mean-reversion, and breakout trading styles
2. Recommended Timeframes
• Short-term traders: 5m / 15m / 1H — use Wave Trend divergence + Gold Zone
• Swing traders: 4H / Daily — rely on Price Action Index and Trend Detector
• Macro trend context: use PAI HTF mode for higher timeframe overlays
3. Reversal Strategy Flow
• Watch for divergence (WT/PAI) + Gold Zone compression
• Confirm with Trend Score weakening or flipping
• Use Straddle Area breakout for final trigger
• Optional: enable bar coloring or labels for visual reinforcement
• The indicator performs optimally when used in conjunction with a harmonic pattern recognition tool
4. Additional Note on the Gold Zone
The “Gold Zone” does not directly indicate a market bottom. Since it is displayed at the bottom of the chart, it may be misunderstood as a bullish signal. In reality, the Gold Zone represents a compression of price momentum and volatility, suggesting that a significant directional move is about to occur. The direction of that move—upward or downward—should be determined by analyzing the histogram:
• If histogram momentum is weakening, the Gold Zone may precede a downward move.
• If histogram momentum is strengthening, it may signal an upcoming rebound or rally.
Treat the Gold Zone as a warning of impending volatility, and always combine it with trend indicators for accurate directional judgment.
RISK DISCLAIMER
• This indicator calculates trend direction based on historical data and cannot guarantee future market performance. When using this indicator for trading, always combine it with other technical analysis tools, fundamental analysis, and personal trading experience for comprehensive decision-making.
• Market conditions are uncertain, and trend signals may result in false positives or lag. Traders should avoid over-reliance on indicator signals and implement stop-loss strategies and risk management techniques to reduce potential losses.
• Leverage trading carries high risks and may result in rapid capital loss. If using this indicator in leveraged markets (such as futures, forex, or cryptocurrency derivatives), exercise caution, manage risks properly, and set reasonable stop-loss/take-profit levels to protect funds.
• All trading decisions are the sole responsibility of the trader. The developer is not liable for any trading losses. This indicator is for technical analysis reference only and does not constitute investment advice.
• Before live trading, it is recommended to use a demo account for testing to fully understand how to use the indicator and apply proper risk management strategies.
CHANGELOG
v1.0: Initial release featuring integrated Price Action Index, Trend Strength Scoring, Wave Trend Oscillator, Gold Zone Compression Detection, and dual-type divergence recognition. Supports higher timeframe (HTF) synchronization, visual signal markers, and diversified parameter configurations.
Rachas ATR AssistHey Traders!
This indicator is a simple, it uses Average True Range (ATR) data from the daily chart and the current timeframe to estimate potential range and volatility.
This indicator compares the daily ATR to the current daily wick range (from low to high), helping you gauge how much "room" might be left for price movement within the day. Alongside that, it shows the ATR over the last 14 candles and 5 candles on your current chart for intraday volatility awareness—ideal for setting stops, targets, or position sizing.
Gauge Daily Potential Movement:
The "Day Range Difference" cell shows how much of the expected daily range (based on ATR) is still unfilled. If the market has moved less than the average, there's still potential for expansion. If it's close to or above the ATR, expect a slowdown or reversal.
Position Sizing & Stop Losses:
Use the 14-period ATR and 5-period ATR on your current timeframe to understand recent volatility. This helps in choosing logical stop loss levels and adjusting position sizes based on market conditions.
Volatility Awareness:
Knowing the average daily range and how much of it has been used lets you avoid entering trades too late in the move or placing stops in overly tight spots.
Table Position & Font:
You can adjust the table location (top/bottom left/right) and font size to best fit your chart layout.
